Summer Mortality Deaths
up in August heatwave
On each of the ten days from Monday 4 August to Wednesday
13 August 2003, estimated numbers of deaths in England
and Wales were above average for those days over the
last five years. There were an estimated 15,187 deaths
over these ten days IN 2003, 2,045 above the average
for the last five years.
According to Met Office reports,
temperatures were above 30ºC at a number of weather
stations for a period of ten consecutive days, beginning
a day earlier than the increase in deaths.
ONS estimates that the number
of deaths peaked at 1,691 on Monday 11 August 2003,
the day after peak temperatures were recorded. This
was 363 more deaths than the average for that day
over the previous five years
In London, the East of England
and the South East there were 6,044 deaths in the
ten days from Monday 4 August to Wednesday 13 August,
40 per cent of the national total. This was 1,314
above the average for the same period in the previous
five years and 64 per cent of the increase nationally.
Over most of these regions, temperatures exceeded
30ºC on 10 August.
In August as a whole, there
were estimated to be 1,495 deaths above the average
for that month over the last five years. This contrasts
with July, where deaths were 746 below the July average
over the last five years.
Although numbers of deaths in
August 2003 were higher than average, the peak number
on 11 August was still lower than typical daily mortality
in the winter months. Over the last five years, December
and January had daily averages of 1,725 and 1,872
deaths respectively. Average daily mortality in August
(1,362 deaths) was also lower than average daily mortality
over the whole of the previous five years (1,485 deaths).