Ovum, the London-based high-tech
consultancy based, predicts the global mobile entertainment
market will be worth $3 billion by 2005. The CTIA
says that by 2006, US consumers will spend in excess
of $13 billion on mobile devices and $8 billion on
wireless games. Other consultancy firms such as the
Yankee Group, poo poo such wildly optimistic predictions,
citing a survey conducted last month in which 82 percent
of US cellular subscribers said that the did not want
or need mobile Internet connectivity and that current
services were too expensive and too complicated to
use.
So while some US consumers might
find mobile e-mail and text messaging a bit of a yawn,
the industry hopes that they will be turned on by
downloading ringtones. European and Japanese users
spent $1.3 billion on ringtones last year, accounting
for a decent chunk of the music industry's total revenue
of $33 billion, senior EMI vice president Jay Samit
told CTIA attendees last month.
These ring tones will become
the gateway drug to wireless music and entertainment
services, and the music industry hopes the public,
once hooked, will keep coming back for more. It's
not just another whistle or bell, they believe, it
is the on switch for a money machine. However, those
who have watched a similar situation develop with
the Web will realize it takes a great deal longer
for content to become king than even Bill Gates predicted.
Although he made his famous content is king speech
back in 1996, only now is paid Web content taking
off in large numbers.
That said, who would have thought
ten years ago that these little jingles would become
a billion-dollar business? Companies like Faith West
and Moviso have built sizable businesses around providing
ringtones, animations, games and content services
in Europe and Asia, but a problem is that current
wireless infrastructure is not good enough to enable
users download the original sound files.
So technology vendors are coming
up with innovative ways to circumnavigate this problem
by providing sound reproduction software. Beatnik,
a digital music software vendor founded by former
pop star Thomas Dolby, has a novel way of recreating
the music.
Rather than sending an audio
file, what you actually send is what is akin to the
sheet music, says Jeremy Copp Senior Vice President,
Sales & Marketing of Beatnik. Software on the
device then recreates the music. Of course, other
elements, such as the voice of Britney Spears, have
to be sent separately.
If one looks at the progression
of technical gadgets over the last decade, we can
certainly see how devices such as laptop computers,
PDAs, and cell phones have become fashion statements
and status symbols. It's a bit like the way wristwatches
and sunglasses were status symbols for the previous
generation. But now the landscape is changing again,
because the data that we store on them becomes a statement
in itself.
When you consume music on the
TV or the radio, you consume it for yourself, says
Tapio Anttila, mobile entertainment analyst with Brauning,
a Santa Monica, Calif.-based research consultancy.
When you consume mobile entertainment such as ring
tones, you consume it for those around you.
Apart from demonstrating your
uniqueness, customizing your ringtone can have practical
advantages too. It can prevent the other 100 people
in the room from reaching for their phones every time
one rings. Furthermore, most phones allow you to customize
the ringtone for each entry in your address book so
you know who is calling. Childish, perhaps but nonetheless
useful.